Reference: | 1. BBC 中文網,2012,〈點評中國:中非的黃岩島對峙〉,http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/focus_on_china/2012/05/120514_cr_southchinasea,2016/7/29。 2. 中央通訊社,2015,〈Q&A南海爭端吵什麼?〉,http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201510270177-1.aspx,2016/4/2。 3. 中央通訊社,2016a,〈南海緊張 陸控渚碧礁燈塔啟用〉,http://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/201604060431-1.aspx,2016/4/9。 4. 中央通訊社,2016b,〈南海風雲急 美國軍援菲律賓創15年新高〉,http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/201604080428-1.aspx,2016/4/9。 5. 中華民國外交部,2015,〈中華民國對南海問題之立場聲明〉,http://www.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content_M_2.aspx?n=8742DCE7A2A28761&sms=491D0E5BF5F4BC36&s=02A142E7057EF2C2,2016/03/30。 6. 中華民國外交部,2016, 〈「區域全面經濟夥伴協定」(RCEP)簡介〉 ,http://www.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=5F02B11AD7FC4A1B&sms=37D27039021F6DF7&s=E1D4B867A637D3B3. 2016/5/16. 7. 丘宏達著,陳純一修訂, 2013,《現代國際法》,台北市:三民書局:1-1256。 8. 王義桅、唐小松譯,2014,《大國政治的悲劇》,台北市:麥田出局:1-621。譯自Mearsheimer, John. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. Norton & Company. 2014. 9. 毛正氣,2012,〈南海的自然資源與爭奪〉,中華民國國防部,https://www.mnd.gov.tw/Upload/201208/1-南海的自然資源與爭奪.pdf,2016/3/31。 10. 世界地圖,2012,台北市:大輿出版:1-206。 11. 邱稔壤,2002,《從政治外交層面看南錐禿鷹行動引發之人權爭議-以智利皮諾契爭權為例》,台北市:印刻出版有限公司: 1-427。 12. 呂建良,2008,〈東海油田氣〉,國立政治大學國際關係研究中心,http://iiro.nccu.edu.tw/index.php?include=article&id=2317,2016/4/2。 13. 朱雪瑛,2005,〈“民主和平論” 之分析與美國 “推廣民主” 戰略〉,《臺灣民主季刊》,2(1):123-158。 14. 宋連海,2014,〈2014年中越南海爭端對我安全影響〉,中華民國國防部https://www.mnd.gov.tw/Upload/201409/001-020.pdf. 2016/5/16,2016/8/13。 15. 林佳瑩審閱,蔡毓智譯,2013,《研究方法:基礎理論與技巧》,台北市:雙葉出版。譯自Babbie, Earl. Introduction to Social Research, 5th edition. Wadsworth, Cengage Learning. 2011. 16. 林添貴譯,2016,《中國海:下一世紀的亞洲是誰的?》,台北市:麥田出版。譯自Kaplan, Robert D. Asia’s Cauladron: The South China Sea and the End of a Stable Pacific. Random House Trade Paperbacks. 2015. 17. 張文揚,2014,〈民主和平論與非民主和平論之經驗檢證: 政治制度相似性的關鍵作用〉,《人文及社會科學集刊》, 26(1):1-39。 18. 張麟徵,2002,《近代國際關係史》, 台北市:揚智文化:1-522。 19. 陳貞如,2013,〈近年南海海域黃岩島爭端之法律分析〉,《司法新聲》,108: 60-80. http://ja.lawbank.com.tw/pdf/近年南海海域黃岩島爭端之法律分析.pdf ,2016/8/12。 20. 盛智明與韓佳譯,2012,《好研究 如何設計:用量化邏輯做質化研究》,新北市:權森印刷事業社。譯自King, Gary, Keohane, Robert O, and Verba, Sidney. Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research. Princeton University Press. 2012. 21. 程富陽,2011,〈析論中東「阿拉伯之春」的衝擊與影響〉,《國防雜誌》 27(1):18-29。 22. 黃旻華,2001,〈[民主和平] 研究的方法論:[聽眾成本] 概念之辨析〉,《問 題與研究,40(1):87-107。 23. 蔡明彥,2014,〈近期中共與越南在南海衝突事件之觀察〉,《大陸與兩岸情勢 簡報》,http://www.mac.gov.tw/public/Attachment/47710474517.pdf 2016/8/12。 24. 趙春山主編,郭瑞華、郭瑞華、張五岳、楊開煌、高長等編著,2013,《兩岸關係與政府大陸政策》,台北市:三民書局:1-289。 25. 謝登隆,2015,《國際貿易理論與政策》, 台北市:智勝出版:1-392。 26. Baldwin, David. A. 1993. Neorealism and Neoliberalism: The Contemporary Debate. New York: Columbia University Press. 27. Barbieri, Katherine. 1996. “Economic Interdependence: A Path to Peace or a Source of Interstate Conflict?” Journal of Peace Research 33(1): 29-49. 28. Barbieri, Katherine & Jack S. Levy. 1999. “Sleeping with the Enemy: The Impact of War on Trade.” Journal of Peace Research 36(4): 463-479. 29. Barbieri, Katherine. 2002. The Liberal Illusion: Does Trade Promote Peace? An-n Arbor: The University of Michigan Press. 30. Barnett, Michael & Martha Finnemore. 2004. Rules for the World: International Organizations in Global Politics. NY: Cornell University. 31. BBC News. 2015. “Q&A: South China China Sea Dispute.” in http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-13748349. Latest update April 2 2016. 32. Bermeo, Nancy. 2016. “On Democratic Backsliding.” Journal of Democracy 27(1): 5-19. 33. Bermeo, Nancy. 2016. “On Democratic Backsliding: Supplemental List.” in http://www.journalofdemocracy.org/sites/default/files/Bermeo%20Supplemental-List%20of%20Coded%20Coups-27-1.pdf. Latest update March 30 2016. 34. Brinkley, Douglas. 1997. “Democratic Enlargement: The Clinton Doctrine.” 35. Foreign Policy 106 (spring):110-127. 36. Brooks, Stephen G., John G. Ikenberry & William C. Wohlforth. 2012. “Don`t Come Home, America: The Case Against Retrenchment.” International 37. Security 37(3): 7-51. 38. Burchill, S., A. Linklater, R. Devetak, J. Donnelly, T. Nardin, M. Paterson, J. Ture. 2009. Theories of International Relations. Forth Edition. Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan. 39. Carothers, Thomas. 2002. “The End of the Transition Paradigm.” Journal of Democracy 13(1):5-21. 40. Cheong, Inkyo and Jose Tongzon. 2013. “Comparing the Economic Impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership.” Asian Economic Papers 12(2): 144-170. 41. Copeland, Dale C. 1996. “Economic Interdependence and War: A Theory of Trade Expectations.” International Security 20(4): 5-41. 42. Copeland, Dale C. 1999. “Trade Expectations and the Outbreak of Peace: Détente 1970–74 and the End of the Cold War 1985–91.” Security Studies 9(1-2):15-58. 43. CNN. 2003. “The Rise and Fall of a Dictator.” in http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/12/14/sprj.irq.saddam.profile/. Latest update 24 March 2016. 44. Dawson, James & Seán Hanley. 2016. “The Fading Mirage of the “Liberal Consensus”.” Journal of Democracy 27(1): 20-34. 45. De Mesquita, Bruce, James D. Morrow, Randolph M. Siverson and Alastair Smith. 1999. “An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace.” American Political Science Review 93(4): 791-807. 46. De Mesquita, Bruce., Alastair Smith, Randolph Siverson & James D. Morrow. 2005. The Logic of Political Survival. Massachusetts: MIT press. 47. Department of Peace and Conflict Research. 2016. “UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset,v.4-2015.”in http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/datasets/ucdp_prio_armed_conflict_dataset/. Latest update May 28 2016. 48. Desker, Berry. 2015. “China`s conflicting signals on the South China Sea.” Brookings in http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2015/07/29-china-conflicting-signals-south-china-sea-desker. Latest update April 7 2016. 49. Diamond, L. 2015. “Facing Up to the Democratic Recession.” Journal of Democracy 26(1):141-155. 50. Diamond, L. 1996. “Is the Third Wave Over?” Journal of Democracy 7(3): 20-37. 51. Dimitrov, M.K. 2013. Why Communism Did Not Collapse: Understanding Authoritarian Regime Resilience in Asia and Europe. Landon: Cambridge University Press. 52. Domke, W. K. 1988. War and The Changing Global System. New Haven: Yale University Press. 53. Doyle, Michael. W. 1983. “Kant, Liberal Legacies, and Foreign Affairs.” Philosophy & Public Affairs 12(3): 205-235. 54. Doyle, Michael. W. 1986. “Liberalism and world politics.” American Political Science Review 80(04): 1151-1169. 55. Doyle, Michael. W. 2005. “Three Pillars of the Liberal Peace.” American Political Science Review 99(03): 463-466. 56. Economist, The, 2014a. “The Lesson of Algeria.” in http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21600984-even-if-arab-spring-has-sorely-disappointed-dictators-even-benevolent-ones-are-not. Latest update 24 march 2016. 57. Economist, The, 2014b. “What’s Gone With Democracy.” in http://www.economist.com/news/essays/21596796-democracy-was-most-successful-political-idea-20th-century-why-has-it-run-trouble-and-what-can-be-do. Latest update 24 March 2016. 58. Economist, The, 2015. “Sea of Troubles: A Disputed Sea is a Growing Security Nightmare and Increasingly an Ecological One.” in http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21650122-disputed-sea-growing-security-nightmareand-increasingly-ecological-one-sea-troubles. Latest update 24 March 2016. 59. Farber, H. S., & J. Gowa. 1995. “Polities and Peace.” International Security 20(2): 123-146. 60. Freedom House. “Freedom in the World Country Ratings” in https://freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/Country%20Status%20%26%20Ratings%20Overview%2C%201973-2016.pdf. Latest update 05 April 2016. 61. Freedom House. 2015a. “Nations in Transit 2015 Report.” in https://freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit/nations-transit-2015#.VvOCisc4MdU. Latest update 23 March 2016. 62. Freedom House. 2015b. “Nations in Transition 2015 Methodology.” in https://freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit-2015/methodology. Latest update 24 March 2016. 63. Freedom House. 2015c. “Freedom in the World 2015: China.” in https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2015/china. Latest update April 6 2016. 64. Freedom House. 2015d. “ Freedom in the World 2015: Vietnam.” in https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2015/vietnam. Latest update April 6 2016. 65. Freedom House. 2015e. “Freedom in the World 2015: Philippines.” in https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2015/philippines.Latest update April 7 2016. 66. Freedom House. 2016. “Regions: Sub-Saharan Africa.” in https://freedomhouse.org/regions/sub-saharan-africa. Latest update April 13 2016. 67. Frieden, Jeffery A. & David A. Lake. 2000. International Political Economy: Perspective on Global Power and Wealth. 4th edition. London: Routledge. 68. Friedman, Thomas. 2006. The World is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century. Landon: Macmillan. 69. Fukuyama, Francis. 2015. “Why is Democracy Performing So Poorly?” Journal of Democracy 26(1):11-20. 70. Gartzke, Erik. 1998. Kant We All Just Get Along? Opportunity, Willingness, and the Origins of the Democratic Peace.” American Journal of Political Science 42(2):1-27. 71. Glaser, Bonnie S. 2012. “China’s Coercive Economic Diplomacy.” The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2012/07/chinas-coercive-economic-diplomacy/. Latest update 24 July 2016. 72. Guardian, The. (2014). “Philippines stands by rejection of Beijing`s claims to 73. the South China Sea in http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/31/philippines-beijing-south-china-sea-benigno-aquino-arbitration. Latest update 24 March 甲、 2016. 74. Ikenberry, G. John. 2005. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays 5th Edition. New York: Princeton University. 75. Habdank-Kołaczkowska, Sylvana. 2016. “Democracy on the Defensive in 甲、 Europe and Eurasia.” Freedom House in https://freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit-2015/democracy-defensive-europe-and-eurasia. Latest update 23 March 2016. 76. Huntington, Samuel. P. 1993. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century. Norman: University of Oklahoma press. 77. IMF. 2016a. Direction of Trade Statistics, in http://data.imf.org/?sk=9D6028D4-F14A-464C-A2F2-59B2CD424B85. Latest update 24 March 2016. 78. IMF. 2016b. Direction of Trade Statistics: Export, FOB to Partner Countries, in 79. http://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=61013712. Latest update 26 march 2016. 80. IMF. 2016c. Direction of Trade Statistics: Import, CIF to Partner Countries, in http://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=61013712. Latest update 26 March 2016. 81. Kant, Immanuel. 1970. Perpetual Peace. In Kant’s Political Writings ed. Hans Reisstrans. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 82. Kazianis, Harry, J. 2016. “The Flash War of `74: China and Vietnam`s South China Sea Showdown.” The National Interest in http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-flash-war-74-china-vietnams-south-china-sea-showdown-15540?page=2. Latest update May 16 2016. 83. Keohane, Robert. O., & Joseph S. Nye.1977. Power and Interdependence: World Politics in Transition. Little: Brown Boston. 84. Kissinger, Henry. 2014. World Order. London: Penguin Press. 85. Krastev, Ivan. 2007. “The Strange Death of the Liberal Consensus: Is East Central Europe Backsliding?” Journal of Democracy 18 (4): 56-63. 86. Krastev, Ivan. 2016. “Liberalism’s Failure to Deliver: What’s Wrong with East-Central Europe?” Journal of Democracy 27(1): 35-38. 87. Layne, Christopher. 1994. “Kant or Cant: The Myth of the Democratic Peace.” International Security 19(2): 5-49. 88. Layne, Christopher. 1997. “Lord Palmerston and the Triumph of Realism: Anglo-French Relations, 1830–48.” In Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer?” Cambridge: MIT Press. 89. Levitsky, S., & L. A. Way. 2002. “The Rise of Competitive Authoritarianism.” Journal of Democracy 13(2): 51-65. 90. Levitsky, S., & L. A. Way. 2010. Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War. New Haven: Cambridge University Press. 91. Mansfield, Edward. D. 1994. Power, Trade, and War. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. 92. Mansfield, Edward. D. & Brian M. Pollins edited. 2003. Economic Interdependence and International Conflict: New Perspective on an Enduring Debate. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press. 93. Maoz, Z., & B. Russett. 1993. “Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946–1986.” American Political Science Review 87(03):624-638. 94. Mearsheimer, John. J. 1990. “Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after the Cold War.” International Security 15(1): 5-56. 95. Mearsheimer, John. J. 2014a. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. WW: Norton & Company. 96. Mearsheimer, John. J. 2014b. “Taiwan’s Dire Straits.” The National Interest 130 (May/April): 29-39. 97. Mitrany, David. 1948. “The Functional Approach to World Organization.” International Affairs 24(3): 350-363. 98. Morgenthau, Hans J. 1973. Politics Among Nations. Knopf: New York. 99. Naím, Moisés. 2009. “Globalization.” Foreign Policy 171(Mar/Apr): 28-34. 100. Nye, Joseph S. 1998. “Neorealism and Neoliberalism.” World Politics 40(2): 235-251. 101. Oneal, John R., & Bruce M. Russett. 1997. “The Classical Liberals were Right: Democracy, Interdependence, and Conflict, 1950–1985.” International Studies Quarterly 41(2): 267-294. 102. Oneal, John R., & Bruce Russett. 1999. “Assessing the Liberal Peace with Alternative Specifications: Trade Still Reduces Conflict.” Journal of Peace Research 36(4): 423-442. 103. Oneal, John R., Bruce Russett & M. L. Berbaum. 2003. “Causes of Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations, 1885–1992.” International Studies Quarterly 47(3): 371-393. 104. Panda, Ankit. 2015. “Chinese J-11 Fighters Exercise in the South China Sea After US Navy Patrols.” The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2015/11/chinese-j-11-fighters-exercise-in-the-south-china-sea-after-us-navy-patrols/. Latest update May 16 2016. 105. Parameswaran, Prashanth. 2015. “The Truth About Philippine Military Modernization and the ‘China Threat’.” The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2015/07/the-truth-about-philippine-military-modernization-and-the-china-threat/. Latest update May 16 2016. 106. Parameswaran, Prashanth. 2016. “America’s New Maritime Security Initiative 107. for Southeast Asia.” The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2016/04/americas-new-maritime-security-initiative-for-southeast-asia/. Latest update April 6 2016. 108. Peceny, M., C. C. Beer & S. Sanchez-Terry .2002. “Dictatorial Peace?” American Political Science Review 96(01): 15-26. 109. Peceny, M., & C.K. Butler. 2004. “The Conflict Behavior of Authoritarian Regimes.” International Politics 41(4): 565-581. 110. Plattner, M. F. 2015. “Is Democracy in Decline?” Journal of Democracy 26 (1): 5-10. 111. Polachek, S.W.,1999. “Liberalism and Interdependence: Extending the Trade-Conflict Model.” Journal of Peace Research 36(4): 405-422. 112. Puddington, Arch. 2015. “Discarding Democracy: Return to an Iron Fist.” Freedom House. in https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world-2015/discarding-democracy-return-iron-fist. Latest update 24 March 2016. 113. Ricardo, D., E. C. K. Gonner & Q. Li. 1819. The Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. World Scientific. 114. Katzenstein, Peter J. 1996. The Culture of National Security: Norms and Identity in World Politics. NY: Columbia University Press. 115. Keohane, Robert O.1984. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. NJ: Princeton University Press. 116. Keohane, Robert O. & Joseph S. Nye. 2000. “Globalization: What’s New? What’s Not? (And So What?).” Foreign Policy 118(Spring): 104-119. 117. Rock, Stephen R. 1997. “Anglo–US Relations, 1845–1930: Did Shared Liberal Values and Democratic Institutions Keep the Peace?” In Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer? MA: MIT Press. 118. Rourke, John T. 1994. Presidential Wars and American Democracy. Washington, DC: Marlowe&Co.. 119. Rosato, Sabastian. 2003. “The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory.” American Political Science Review 97 (04): 585-602. 120. Rosato, Sabastian. 2005. “Explaining the Democratic Peace.” American Political Science Review 99(03): 467-472. 121. Roy, Denny. 2015. “New PRC South China Sea Bases No Cause to ‘Relax’’. The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/new-prc-south-china-sea-bases-no-cause-to-relax/. Latest update April 6 2016. 122. Rousseau, David L., Christopher Gelpi, Dan Reiter and Paul K. Huth. 1996. “Assessing the Dyadic Nature of the Democratic Peace, 1918-88.” American Political Science Review 90(3): 512-533. 123. Russett, Bruce. 1994. Grasping the Democratic Peace: Principles for a Post-Cold War World. NJ: Princeton university press. 124. Samons, L. J. 2004. What`s Wrong with Democracy? : from Athenian Practice to American Worship. University of California Press. 125. Shambaugh, David. 2004/2005. “China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order.” International Security 29(3): 64-99. 126. Smith, Michael. 2014. “EU-China Relations and the Limits of Economic Diplomacy.” Asia Europe Journal 12(1): 35-48. 127. Stepan, Alfred & Juan J. Linz. 2013. “Democratization Theory and the “Arab Spring”” Journal of Democracy 24(2): 15-30. 128. Stiglitz, Joseph. 2002. “Globalism’s Discontents.” The American Prospect(Winter): 16-21. 129. Strand, H., L. Wilhelmsen, & N. P. Gleditsch. 2003. Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook in Oslo: PRIO. 130. Thayer, Carl. 2015. “The Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam Race to South China Sea Defense Modernization.” The Diplomat in http://thediplomat.com/2015/01/the-philippines-malaysia-and-vietnam-race-to-south-china-sea-defense-modernization/. Latest update May 16 2016. 131. Thayer, Carlyle A. 2011. “China’s New Wave of Aggressive Assertiveness in the South China Sea.” International Studies of China Study 2(3): 555-583. 132. “Vietnam/China: Vietnam`s trade with china flourishes despite south china sea 甲、 tensions.” 2012. Asia News Monitor, in http://search.proquest.com/docview/1082305981?accountid=10067.Latest update August 13 2016. 133. Walt, Stephen M. 2000. “Two Cheers for Clinton`s Foreign Policy.” Foreign Policy 79(2):63-79. 134. Waltz, Kenneth N. 2000. “Globalization and American Power.” The National Interest 59(Spring):46-56. 135. Waltz, Kenneth N. 2010. Theory of International Politics. Long Grove: Waveland Press. 136. Wendt, Alexander. 1999. Social Theory of International Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |