政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/100356
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 112871/143842 (78%)
造访人次 : 49940741      在线人数 : 764
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧：
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据
    •  进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/100356


    题名: 自用住宅市場均衡空屋率分析-以臺北縣市為例
    其它题名: Equilibrium Vacancy Rate of Owner-Occupied Housing Market - The Examples of Taipei City and Taipei County
    作者: 彭建文
    Peng, Chien-Wen
    关键词: 房價變動率;空屋率;自然空屋率;均衡空屋率
    Change of Housing Price;Vacancy Rate;Natural Vacancy Rate;Equilibrium Vacancy Rate
    日期: 2005-05
    上传时间: 2016-08-17 11:20:52 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 為能瞭解國內空屋率持續大幅上升，但房價卻調整緩慢的現象，本文中嘗試運用自然空屋率理論來探討自有住宅市場中房價與空屋率的關係，並透過台北市與台北縣1980-2001的資料估算使房價變動為零的均衡空屋率。實證結果發現，空屋率與房價調整率之間有顯著的反向關係，但就台北市而言，以當期空屋率對實質住宅單價變動率影響的模型較佳，而台北縣則以當期空屋率對名目住宅總價變動率的影響模型較佳，顯示出台北市與台北縣住宅市場在運作上有明顯的差異。本文推估台北市的均衡空屋率值在12.61%到14.03%之間，台北縣的均衡空屋率在20.56%到22.72%之間，我們可發現不論台北市與台北縣的均衡空屋率均明顯偏高，且與實際空屋率的高峰值差距不大，此可能是造成兩縣市長期房價漲多跌少，房價調整緩慢的原因。至於自用住宅的高均衡空屋率，可能有相當數量的空屋做為第二屋使用或暫時閒置，並未在市場參與運作有關。
    This paper applied natural vacancy rate theory in rental housing market to clarify the sluggish adjustment process of housing prices to vacancy rate in Taiwan’s owner occupied housing market. The empirical results revealed that vacancy rate had very significant negative effect on the change of housing prices. According to the fitness of the model, the current vacancy rate to the real change of housing prices and the lagged vacancy rate to the nominal change of housing total prices is the best model for Taipei City and Taipei County, respectively. It means that the housing market structures of Taipei City and Taipei County are quite different. The estimated equilibrium vacancy rates are about 12.61 to 14.03 percent in Taipei City and 20.56 to 22.72 percent in Taipei County. Both equilibrium vacancy rates are extraordinary high and very close to the peak value of actual vacancy rates. These findings can explain the slow adjustment process in Taiwan’s owner occupied housing market quite well.
    關聯: 臺灣土地研究, 8(1), 1-21
    Journal of Taiwan land research
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[臺灣土地研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    8(1)-1-21.pdf4164KbAdobe PDF2373检视/开启


    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈